Tagged: baseball
Ballpark Figures: Top Second-Half Storylines
Twitter: @RobShawSports and @BloombergSports
Bloomberg Sports Anchors Rob Shaw and Julie Alexandria discuss the top five stories in baseball after the All-Star break.
Will R.A. Dickey win 20 games?
Baseball fans are trying to figure out if R.A. Dickey is Tom Candiotti or Phil Niekro. At 12-1, Dickey is enjoying a banner season and arguably would be the NL Cy Young award winner if the season ended today. The problem for Dickey is that the season does not end today and he still has about 15 starts to go. Can he possibly continue his dominance and nab another eight wins for an even 20?
Hall of Fame knuckleballer Phil Niekro attained three different seasons with 20 or more wins. On the other hand, Dickey might only win another 3-5 games this season and finish with a solid, but more expected total that is more in line with a solid hurler, such as knuckleballer Tom Candiotti, who won 14, 15 and 16 games in his career.
What becomes of Tim Lincecum?
The good news is that Tim Lincecum is on pace to strikeout 200 batters. The bad news is that he is also approaching 100 walks, which could lead to some time in the bullpen. We’ve had some surprises this year that fill the bust category. As of now both Jose Reyes and Albert Pujols join a recent trend of major free agents struggling with new franchises.
Lincecum is pitching for the very franchise he came up with and has dominated for the last five seasons. However, he is getting hit often and hard, and with a 3-10 record and 6.42 ERA you have to wonder if he will stick in the starting rotation all season long. Lincecum hasn’t made it out of the fourth inning in back-to-back outings.
Where will Zack Greinke end up?
The Brewers have had their struggles and perhaps for that reason, Zack Greinke’s performance has gone under the radar. He is 9-3 with 111 K’s and a 3.32 ERA. With the Brewers five games out of first place, the team will be in sell mode especially if Greinke does not indicate that he wants to stick there.
So what teams could be interested? How about the Baltimore Orioles, or the St. Louis Cardinals? Greinke’s presence could make a world of difference in how this ost-season shapes up.
Are the Phillies buyers or sellers?
The Phillies are in dead last place in the National League East. They opened the season without Chase Utley and Ryan Howard, and now that they are coming back, the pitchers have been out: Cliff Lee and Roy Halladay.
The big question for the Phillies is figuring out whether or not Cole Hamels will stay as a free agent. There have been rumblings that he could be destined to the Dodgers, which would leave the Phillies in a bind if they do not get anything in return for his services aside from draft picks. Hamels, by the way, is 10-4 with a 3.20 ERA with 118 K’s and a 1.10 WHIP. He has been the ace for the Phillies this season.
Are the Pirates playoff bound?
The Pirates are in first place late in the season for a second straight year. The question is whether they can stick this time and if they learned from last year’s collapse. It looks like they could actually stick this time for a couple of reasons. Firstly, they have an ace with James McDonald boasting a 2.37 ERA with much better control this season. Next, their gamble with AJ Burnett seems to be paying off as he’s been a solid number two. Though the starting rotation lacks depth, the bullpen is strong enough to let leads stick.
Finally, on offense there are several solid players, then an MVP candidate in Andrew McCutchen and a potential star in Pedro Alvarez. The Pirates lack some depth, but so far they have been good enough, and with extra wild card spots available, this team could advance.
For more insight, visit BloombergSports.com
Fantasy Baseball Preview: Edwin Jackson, Erik Bedard, and Yu Darvish
BY ROB SHAW
Edwin Jackson is young, durable, and has been a winner with 10-plus wins in each of the last four seasons. The solid track record begs the question why did so many teams pass on him.
The 28-year-old hurler is now on his seventh Major League team and he hasn’t played for losers either. He went 5-2 down the stretch for the Cardinals last season, playing a role in the team’s World Series Championship.
One of the hardest throwing hurlers in baseball, Jackson has improved his control over the years. His greatest weakness recently is that he is just too hittable. Even in his successful run with the Cardinals the opposition hit .300 against him. The good news is that he keeps the ball in the yards, but for fantasy managers looking for a low WHIP, Jackson is not a solution.
The move to Washington means he’ll now don the jersey for his sixth team over the last four years. However, Bloomberg Sports likes his fantasy value. The larger ballpark and National League setting should translate to 170 strikeouts, double-digit wins, and a 4.21 ERA.
Jackson is a fine low-risk, high ceiling option in the later rounds of fantasy drafts. After all, it was just a few years back that he threw a no-hitter while pitching for the Arizona Diamondbacks. Let’s see if he can finally sustain such dominance over a full season.
Once one of the hurlers in the most demand in the Major Leagues, Erik Bedard hopes to build on his improvement from last season while joining the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Bedard was a disaster in Seattle. Because of injuries, he never lived up to the hype and while the Mariners traded away top prospect Adam Jones to the Orioles for him, they ended up letting him go for very little in return last season to the Red Sox.
The good news is that Bedard showed that even after all of the injury-ravaged seasons, he still has some potential right now. He offered fine control last season and fanned a batter per inning throughout the year.
A move to Pittsburgh should lead to some good results for Bedard’s fantasy managers. Pittsburgh’s ballpark plays neutral and he will no longer have to deal with designated hitters in the majority of his starts. Most importantly, he has sustained his health, which is the key to his performance.
BloombergSports.com projects a solid 3.74 ERA and 1 .30 WHIP from the veteran hurler this season, and with some luck he could reach double-digit wins for the first time in five years.
The loss of CJ Wilson could be crushing to the Texas Rangers. Just a year removed from a second World Series, the Rangers lost their ace for a second time. First it was Cliff Lee who bolted to rejoin the Phillies. Now it’s Wilson, and while he may not be as dominant as Lee, the fact that he joins the rival LA Angels of Anaheim makes matters worse.
The Rangers were desperate to respond and without many proven stars on the market they had to compete with teams including the Toronto Blue Jays to land Yu Darvish, an ace from Japan. With an enormous bid, the Rangers land the hard-throwing hurler who will enjoy the loftiest expectations by a free agent to join the Rangers perhaps since Alex Rodriguez signed his now infamous $252 million deal.
As far as realistic projections for Darvish, BloombergSports.com offers a 13-8 record, 185 strikeouts, and a 3.63 ERA for the hard-throwing hurler. That makes him the 16th best starting pitcher, and a top-50 fantasy talent.
Despite the lofty projections, there is still a great deal of risk for fantasy managers. After all, Darvish is new to America and will have to adapt culturally to Major League Baseball, plus he calls home to one of the most hitter-friendly parks in the league. He will not get away with many mistakes and the media will be hounding him all season long.
For more fantasy baseball insight visit BloombergSports.com.
(Vid) Behind the Numbers: New media & its impact on fandom
Celebrating the Fan Experience Part 3: Sabermetrics, Social Media & the Impact on Fandom
Hosts: Wayne Parillo and Rob Shaw
Behind the Numbers is a series of conversations and discussions with baseball, blog, sabermetric, and fantasy experts.
Guest:Dave Cameron, co-founder ussmariner.com, and writer for fangraphs.com and espn.com Insider. Follow him at d_a_cameron
Dave Cameron covers topics from super 2 status, sabermetrics hitting the main stream, and how new media such as social media and twitter changes the way he is Mariner’s fan. Plus some good old fashioned stories and thoughts on Jose Bautista, the Cardinals, and Charlie Blackmon.
Watch the entire episode, or use the links below to jump to the exact point you want.
- Cases of mistaken identity on twitter and that he is not the Prime Minister of England 0:39 – 1:26
- Super 2 status & why young players are being called up this week 1:30 – 2:59
- Young players in the Pacific Coast League and what to REALLY to expect from them 3:00 – 4:48
- A more critical fan response – how so much information affect Dave’s Mariner’s fandom & how he views baseball 4:49 – 6:19
- Sabermetrics hits the main stream as social media and access to information changes the way people interact, including David Cone and mentions on the YES network 6:20 – 8:22
- Apps, twitter, writer rumors, and the greatest impact of new media on the old game 8:23 – 10:19
- Is new media helping or hurting the average fan? 10:20 – 11:22
- Why Dave is okay with corporations subsizing the fan experience 11:23 – 13:27
- How twitter makes you feel like you’re watching the game with other people & how going to the ballpark is an escape 13:28 – 14:38
- The distracted fan: is technology going to be dangerous for fans at the ballpark? 14:52 – 15:53
- Jose Bautista hits like Barry Bonds, how his approach is like a 6-years-old and why it is awesome 15:54 – 17:12
- Albert Pujols’s once a decade slump & how strong the Cardinals actually are 17:28 – 18:14
- Dave’s super secret sleeper: Charlie Blackman 18:25 – 19:20
- July 7th, Fangraphs live at the Saber conference & why everyone should show up 19:36 – 21:20
For the best fantasy baseball analysis and insight please visit BloombergSports.com
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(Vid) Behind the Numbers – Jason Fry and his favorite Mets memories
The Grand Slam Single & Other Baseball Stories
Hosts: Wayne Parillo and Brendan McGrail
Behind the Numbers is a series of conversations and discussions with baseball, blog, sabermetric, and fantasy experts.
Watch the entire episode, or use the links below to jump to the exact point you want:
Guest: Jason Fry
Celebrating the fan experience with Faithandfearinflushing.com co-founder and NY Times best selling author as he gives us with his craziest Mets story while watching a Mets game at a bar in New Orleans, his most emotional Mets memories, why he goes to games live, and R.A. Dickey and the Darth Vader outfit.
Follow him a @jasoncfry
- Introducing Jason C Fry & The Guest Host 0:21 – 0:58
- The lengths Jason went to watching a Mets game in New Orleans and the unintended involvement of adult entertainment and beer 1:17 – 6:35
- Brendan’s most electrifying he ever watched 6:36 – 7:56
- Being at The Grand Slam Single game and Shea physically rocking 8:19 – 10:20
- The most emotional stadium reactions Jason’s witnessed: Ventura, the 10 run comeback, and post 9/11 sports & why he thought he was having a heart attack and didn’t care 10:21 – 11:24
- What keeps Jason coming back to watch the games live 11:40 – 13:18
- Brendan on never outgrowing baseball and why you appreciate it on different levels over time 13:20 – 14:24
- RA Dickey’s Darth Vader outfit and the naming of his bats 15:00 – 15:58
- Closing & Credits 15:59 – the End
For the best fantasy baseball analysis and insight please visit BloombergSports.com
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(Vid) Behind the Numbers – Will Leitch on everything
Hosts: Robert Shaw and Wayne Parillo
Behind the Numbers is a series of conversations and discussions with baseball, blog, sabermetric, and fantasy experts.
Watch the entire episode, or use the links below to jump to the exact point you want:
Guest: Will Leitch
The extremely funny and entertaing co-founder Deadspin, contributing editor at New York Magazine, and author of four books stops by. Follow him a @williamfleitch
- Introducing Will Leitch 0:11 – 0:58
About Deadspin
- The creation and evolution of Deadspin & The Influence of Ron Mexico 1:00 – 5:51
- Did traditional media miss an opportunity? 6:21 – 7:04
- A story of Joel Sherman’s “blog” 7:11 – 7:50
- Why Deadspin was revolutionary for sports 8:04 – 8:28
Would Deadspin work now?
- Could Deadspin start up now due to changes in measurement of success 8:36 – 8:58
- Nick Denton emails about March Madness in June 8:58 – 9:28
- Having time to develop an audience & Kyle Orton 9:29 – 10:21
- The line between editorial and ad people and how it changes editorial 10:40 – 11:42
Is the opportunity for independent sites gone?
- Generate revenue in a new world 11:43 – 12:30
- The Only Way to get noticed: be good 12:31 – 13:00
- Why you can’t predict technology(social media) 13:01 – 14:00
- The change to Gawker 14:01 – 14:45
Branding
- Will Leitch: the Brand 14:46 – 15:24
- Rick Reilly’s comments to students 15:25 – 16:06
- Creating yourself as a brand 16:07 – 16:27
- The old path to success is gone 16:27 – 16:59
- New York Magazine’s hires: all with brand name recognition 17:00 – 17:40
- What editors want? Proof of skills 17:41 – 18:29
Closing & Credits 18:30 – the End
For the best fantasy baseball analysis and insight please visit BloombergSports.com
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(Vid) Behind the Numbers: How to Discuss Sabermetrics Without Alienating People
Hosts: Robert Shaw and Wayne Parillo
Behind the Numbers is a series of conversations and discussions with blog, sabermetric, and fantasy experts.
Watch the entire episode, or use the links below to jump to the exact point you want:
Guest: Steve Slowinski
Writer St Petersburg Times, librarian and contributor at Fangraphs.com, Editor-in-Chief DRaysBay, SB Nation Tampa Bay. Follow him at @steveslow
- Who is Slowinski? 0:29 – 0:51
- Rob admits to the day sabermetrics made him looked like a moron 0:55 -1:19
- The struggle to include sabermeterics & focusing on the concepts 1:27 –2:41
- A real world example involving Kyle Davies 2:42 – 3:51
- How deep do you go in an article before it’s too much? 4:05 – 5:43
- Using scouting terms to help educate people 5:44 – 6:56
- The batter-pitcher crib sheet & sample size 7:08 – 8:30
- Sliding sabermetrics into fantasy article 8:35 – 9:37
- Has fantasy helped or hurt the saber community? 9:54- 11:13
- Discussing Matt Joyce 11:40 – 12:40
- What is coming up from Steve 12:50 – the end
For the best fantasy baseball analysis and insight please visit BloombergSports.com
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